Public Accountability Receipt

#36

Indian Premier League 2026
CM AI Verdict
WRONG
Resolved May 11, 2026, 5:58 PM
Match
Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala
May 11, 2026, 2:00 PM
What CM AI Predicted
Type: match winner
Pick: PBKS
Doctrine: D1
Committed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
The Data Trail
Every stat in the post, with the SQL that produced it.
fixture.top_gl_squad.projected_score= 621.66

        SELECT s3_uri
          FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk
         LIMIT 1
    
params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.top_gl_squad.actual_score= 0

        WITH posted AS (
            SELECT player_ids, captain_id, vc_id
              FROM cmxi_squads
             WHERE match_id = :fid
               AND is_post_toss = :ipt
               AND mode = 'GL'
               AND team_number = 1
             LIMIT 1
        )
        SELECT SUM(
            COALESCE(pr.actual_pts, 0) * CASE
                WHEN pr.player_id::int = posted.captain_id THEN 2.0
                WHEN pr.player_id::int = posted.vc_id      THEN 1.5
                ELSE 1.0
            END
        )::numeric(10, 2) AS actual
          FROM posted
          JOIN cmxi_prediction_player_rows pr
            ON pr.fixture_id = :fid
           AND pr.run_kind = :rk
           AND pr.player_id::int = ANY(posted.player_ids)
    
params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69649,"ipt":true}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.top_gl_squad.rank_in_own_set

        SELECT best_squad_number, best_squad_mode
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1
    
params: {"fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.top_captain.actual_pts

        SELECT captain_actual_pts
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1
    
params: {"fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.top11_recall

        SELECT top11_recall
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1
    
params: {"fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.top_gl_squad.player_count= 22
SELECT players_count FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk LIMIT 1
params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
fixture.ai_prediction.confidence_pct= 51

        SELECT s3_uri
          FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk
         LIMIT 1
    
params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69649}
db: cmxi_db
executed May 11, 2026, 1:45 PM
The Post
⚡ DHRUV's pick · PBKS vs DC DHRUV calls: PBKS Confidence: 51% Captain Arshdeep Singh matched up well against the opposing pace setup. Going on the record. Receipt at toss.
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