Public Accountability Receipt

#40

Indian Premier League 2026

CM AI Verdict

WRONG

Resolved May 14, 2026, 5:58 PM

Match

Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians

Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala

May 14, 2026, 2:00 PM

What CM AI Predicted

Type: match winner

Pick: PBKS

Doctrine: D1

Committed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

The Data Trail

Every stat in the post, with the SQL that produced it.

fixture.top_gl_squad.projected_score= 633.84


        SELECT s3_uri
          FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk
         LIMIT 1

params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.top_gl_squad.actual_score= 0


        WITH posted AS (
            SELECT player_ids, captain_id, vc_id
              FROM cmxi_squads
             WHERE match_id = :fid
               AND is_post_toss = :ipt
               AND mode = 'GL'
               AND team_number = 1
             LIMIT 1
        )
        SELECT SUM(
            COALESCE(pr.actual_pts, 0) * CASE
                WHEN pr.player_id::int = posted.captain_id THEN 2.0
                WHEN pr.player_id::int = posted.vc_id      THEN 1.5
                ELSE 1.0
            END
        )::numeric(10, 2) AS actual
          FROM posted
          JOIN cmxi_prediction_player_rows pr
            ON pr.fixture_id = :fid
           AND pr.run_kind = :rk
           AND pr.player_id::int = ANY(posted.player_ids)

params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69652,"ipt":true}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.top_gl_squad.rank_in_own_set


        SELECT best_squad_number, best_squad_mode
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1

params: {"fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.top_captain.actual_pts


        SELECT captain_actual_pts
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1

params: {"fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.top11_recall


        SELECT top11_recall
          FROM cmxi_validation_runs
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = 'posttoss'
         ORDER BY run_at DESC
         LIMIT 1

params: {"fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.top_gl_squad.player_count= 22

SELECT players_count FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk LIMIT 1

params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

fixture.ai_prediction.confidence_pct= 51


        SELECT s3_uri
          FROM cmxi_prediction_artifacts
         WHERE fixture_id = :fid AND run_kind = :rk
         LIMIT 1

params: {"rk":"posttoss","fid":69652}

db: cmxi_db

executed May 14, 2026, 1:45 PM

The Post

🔮 Tonight's read · PBKS vs MI

We're on: PBKS
Confidence: 51%

Captain Arshdeep Singh matched up well against the opposing pace setup.

Receipt staked. Win or lose, we own it.

Every CricketMind AI prediction lives here. Before the match, during the match, after the match.
No edits. No do-overs. No astrology, no vibes, no nonsense.

See all receipts →Season accuracy